$SUI fell 19% this week after three network outages in 48 hours and a 23.78M token unlock added selling pressure. Primary reason: Repeated mainnet outages hurt investor confidence and triggered liquidations, with $1.88M in long positions wiped out during the latest halt. Secondary reasons: A scheduled 23.78M SUI unlock increased supply concerns, adding pressure to an already weak market structure. Near-term outlook: Holding above $0.88 could stabilize sentiment and support a rebound. A break below may open the door to $0.80, while reclaiming $0.96 would be an early sign of recovery. My view: The token unlock alone isn't a major issue (only ~0.6% of circulating supply), but three outages in two days seriously damage confidence. The bigger concern is reliability, not dilution. Until Sui proves the bugs are fully resolved, rallies may face selling pressure despite oversold conditions.