Innlegg
Photoforlife
Photoforlife
BITCOIN UPDATE: CME GAP CLOSED, BUT THE REAL MOVE MAY NOT HAVE STARTED YET $BTC is no longer dealing with a double CME gap. That matters. The lower gap has now been filled, which gives the market a cleaner structure. From a trading perspective, I would have preferred a push toward $79K first before any deeper move lower, but Bitcoin chose to clean the downside gap first. Now the question becomes simple: Does $BTC continue toward the next liquidity zone… or does it rotate back toward the upper gap area near $79K? That is where decision-making gets harder. The more interesting part is volatility. After the recent drop, I expected historical volatility to expand more aggressively. It has not. That tells me this move was probably not the main event. It was pressure. Not full expansion. The real volatility impulse may still be ahead. The second warning signal is exchange balance. Over the last week, Bitcoin held on exchanges reportedly increased from around 2.45M BTC to 2.48M BTC. That is roughly 30,000 BTC moving back onto exchanges. That is not small. Exchange inflows do not guarantee immediate selling, but they do increase potential sell-side pressure. The timing is the key. Are these coins being prepared for distribution? Or just repositioned ahead of volatility? To answer that, the next data points matter: Funding Open interest Spot volume Liquidation heatmaps Short-term market structure For now, the read is clear: CME gap closed. Volatility still quiet. Exchange balances rising. That combination usually means the market is not finished. The next big move is probably still ahead. ⚠️ Personal analysis only. DYOR.

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