预言家毛毛

$ETH I'm laying it out straight today: Ethereum is in a solid downtrend right now, and any rebound is just an opportunity to short and make money. If you dare to jump in and buy the dip with a hot head, you won't be able to sleep for three days because you'll definitely be losing money. Keep an eye on these two 30-minute charts; from the high of 2404, it dropped sharply down to 2263, losing almost 140 points in a single day, trapping all the retail investors who chased the breakout at the peak. Now, this little rebound can't even hold the 2300 level, with the current price at 2295 being firmly pressed down by the EMA20 moving average. It can't even touch the super trend line at 2313, and the SAR profit-taking point is stuck at 2309. Above, from 2350 to 2400, there are countless trapped positions waiting to break even and escape; every point up has numerous people ready to sell. Look at the volume: when it drops, the trading volume is massive, but during the rebound, the volume shrinks to almost nothing, clearly indicating that there is no new capital coming in to take over. The main force has already sold out, showing no intention of supporting the price. This is the most typical continuation of a downtrend. If you don't short now, wait until it breaks the low of 2263 and accelerates downwards; by then, you won't even be able to catch a hot soup. Let me say something you might not want to hear: from a metaphysical perspective, the bulls have had no chance from the start. The main force deliberately chose to push it up to the high of 2404 on the afternoon before the weekend of the 27th, clearly calculating that retail investors would be greedy and gamble on good news over the weekend. They specifically picked this time to lure in the breakout chasers, only to turn around and dump the price, showing they had no good intentions from the beginning. Looking at these numbers, the high of 2404 sounds like "you will definitely die" in Chinese, clearly sending you a signal to escape, but you insist on rushing in. The low of 2263 means "two people lose out"; if two people go in to buy the dip, both will lose when leaving. Even the current price of 2295 is a signal of a deadlock where "two people will lose." Not to mention, in the larger cycle, the 7-day, 90-day, and 180-day charts are all showing green downtrends, with only a small red line on the 30-day chart painting a false picture. The overall trend is downward, and relying on this small cycle's rebound won't create any waves. And that high of 2404 is just 4 points above the 2400 level, specifically designed to trick those retail investors who rely on technical breakouts, sweeping out all the stop-loss orders and then crashing the price. We've seen too many of these numerical traps; whenever this kind of trend appears, it leads to a mess, and the bulls have no chance to turn things around. Let me give you a more relatable analogy: Ethereum's current state is like a person who just had a heart attack coming out of the emergency room. It looks like there's a heartbeat, but all the blood vessels are completely blocked, and it could have serious problems at any moment. Previously, when it rose from around 2200 to 2400, it was like a physically exhausted person trying to run a marathon, relying solely on a single obsession to keep going. It looked promising, but internally it had already run out of steam. As soon as it hit 2404, it couldn't catch its breath and had a heart attack right there, with a big bearish candle breaking through all the support levels, like blocking all the blood vessels. The current rebound is just a temporary heartbeat after resuscitation; the K-line shows ups and downs, but it hasn't regained any vitality. The short-term moving averages are all in a bearish arrangement, with the EMA5 not even able to hold above the EMA10, like a person who can't even stand up, relying on a ventilator to stay alive. If you jump in to buy now, it's like giving a heart attack patient a big nourishing soup; not only will it not save them, but you'll also lose all your capital. This kind of trend will lead to a slow decline, like a person with a chronic illness gradually draining your capital. By the time you realize what's happening, you'll be trapped and unable to cut your losses. I know many of you will disagree and argue with me, saying that Ethereum's spot ETF has seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks, or that Ethereum is a mainstream coin that can't drop. But let me ask you this: if they really wanted to push the market up, would the main force give you such a cheap price of 2295 to comfortably buy the dip? If they really wanted to rise, would they trap all the people who chased the high at 2400 at the peak, giving them no chance to break even? The main force has never been a philanthropist; it won't carry retail investors on its back. It wants to cut off those of you who are holding onto a lucky mindset and buying the dip. If you don't believe me, let's make a bet: if anyone dares to go long with a heavy position now and doesn't lose more than 20 points within three days, I won't believe it. Right now, shorting means you're picking up money on the main force's side, while going long means you're just handing money to the main force as a bag holder. Don't wait until you've lost half your capital and are trapped before regretting not listening to me; by then, it will be too late to cry.

$DYDX What rises must eventually fall; after the extreme surge of a frenzy, only a mess remains. Watching DYDX climb steadily from the bottom at 0.14452 with consecutive bullish candles, forcibly rising over eleven points, reaching a peak at 0.17919, the entire market has long been swept up by the fervent bullish sentiment. Everyone is shouting that the trend has completely reversed and a new major uptrend has officially begun. Those who missed out panic and buy at high prices, afraid of missing this windfall profit opportunity. But only traders who have truly experienced the market's ups and downs over many years and witnessed countless bull and bear cycles can understand that behind this clamor, a prearranged trap for harvesting profits has already been set. At the 15-minute chart level, the market is already turbulent beneath the surface. The MACD has formed a death cross at an absolute high, with bearish momentum continuously accumulating and releasing. Short-term moving averages have collectively turned downward, creating layers of resistance. After the price surged, it quickly fell back and no longer has the strength to retest previous highs. The current market looks like a runner who has completely exhausted all energy; after the peak, the steps are weak and unsteady. Every slight rebound afterward is just a gentle trap to lure the last wave of trend-following bulls. Human nature always repeats the same fate; extreme greed always blinds rational eyes. When over 90% of the market is unanimously bullish and everyone is convinced the price will only go up, the real turning point has quietly arrived. The main force uses the crowd’s excitement and cheers to steadily distribute high-position chips, leaving only a long period of slow decline and endless trapping for those blindly chasing highs. The rise and fall of extremes is an eternal truth; on the candlestick chart, there is never a myth of forever one-way upward movement. Current price is 0.16860; now is the time to decisively position short. Set a tight stop loss at 0.18050 to completely avoid the main force’s trap of fake breakouts designed to sweep stops. The first take-profit target is 0.15800; once the bearish trend fully opens, the ultimate pullback target is the previous core support at 0.14900. Having traded for many years, I’m too tired to argue about who is right or wrong in bulls vs bears, and I never advise anyone to heavily bet on speculation. I’ve just seen too many hopeful traders enter the market, get fully trapped at the peak during collective euphoria, endure countless lonely nights holding losing positions, gradually losing all their confidence and courage. I’m simply honestly sharing the market essence as I see it. Time never lies; when the tide completely recedes, who is swimming naked and who is clear-headed, the market will give the fairest answer. $DYDX

$IOTA Reviewing the long night, looking at this rollercoaster K-line, only clarity remains in my heart. From the bottom at 0.05361, it soared all the way up, with consecutive long bullish candles piercing the sky, reaching a high of 0.06431. The single-day surge was sharp and decisive, the whole market was cheering, everyone said the main uptrend would never end, rushing to chase at high prices, afraid to miss this hard-earned upward train. But those who have weathered countless market storms always know clearly that after the ultimate bloom comes silent withering. Even the strongest bulls will eventually run out of steam. On the 15-minute chart, after touching the high, volume quickly faded, MACD has already turned downward, the forces of bulls and bears quietly reversed; moving averages twisted and crossed, the supports that once lifted the price have all turned into heavy resistance, every rebound fails to break the previous high, and the downward momentum is steadily accumulating. What goes around comes around, extremes reverse—this is an unchanging law through the ages. The market looks strong but is hollow inside; beneath the prosperous facade, bearish undercurrents have long been surging. The most dangerous market is always when everyone unanimously turns bullish. When greed completely overrides reason, and every person who missed out rushes in to catch the falling knife, the scythe is already hanging high. All the deliberately created strength is ultimately just to complete the final distribution of chips. Current price 0.06188, firmly short at the current price. Set a strict stop loss at 0.0649 to avoid all traps of false breakouts and bull traps. The first take profit target is 0.0591; if bearish momentum continues to release, the ultimate downside target is the key low at 0.0554. The longer you walk the path of trading, the more you understand that following the crowd only leads to losses; clarity is the foundation for long-term survival. I've seen too many passionate traders fall at the peak of the party, trapped in long nights of being stuck and exhausted. I have no intention to argue bulls vs bears, nor to incite heavy bets; I only honestly share the market essence I have seen through the vicissitudes with everyone. The noise will eventually end, the tide will eventually recede, and all answers will ultimately be verified by time. $IOTA

$UB Calmly reviewing the market fluctuations throughout the day, from the abyss low of 0.17034 a fierce rebound surged, violently climbing to a stage peak of 0.21691, with a single-day increase exceeding eleven percent. The entire market was immersed in the frenzy of a rebound and revival. Countless people watched the continuous rising red bars, firmly believing the bears were completely finished, and that a new main uptrend had begun. They threw themselves into chasing the highs, afraid to miss this rare turnaround opportunity. But those who have seen thousands of bull and bear cycles in the market can always see through the noise. An extreme rebound is never a trend reversal; it is the last gentle trap before the bears strike back. In the fifteen-minute chart, the MACD quietly formed a death cross at a high level, turning green. The bulls’ momentum was completely exhausted, the volume on the surge sharply shrank, and the short-term moving averages collectively turned downward under pressure. The foundation for the rise was already shaky. What rises to the peak must fall; what is positive turns negative—this is an eternal truth of nature. The deliberately created atmosphere of a sharp rise is always meant to lure in momentum-chasing buyers. The most dangerous thing is never the decline itself, but the blind consensus of everyone being bullish. When the whole market is shouting for new highs, and every person who missed out rushes to get in, the main force has already quietly distributed all their high-position chips during the market’s celebration. The current market is strong on the outside but weak inside. Every inch of residual upward movement is accumulating the force for a deep fall to come. Current price 0.20261, firmly short at the current price. Stop loss strictly set at 0.21800 to completely block the last false breakout induced by the main force. The first take profit target is 0.19000, confirming the continuation of the bearish trend, with the ultimate take profit hitting the low range at 0.17800. The longer you trade, the more you understand that bulls and bears never need to argue, and right or wrong is never decided by voices. Many who endure long, slow declines end up dying at the rebound’s peak; many who bear countless losses late at night finally fall due to uncontrolled greed. I never force anyone to agree, nor do I incite heavy bets. I only honestly share the market insights I have seen and the market essence I have understood through hardships. When the tide recedes, all truths and falsehoods will be judged most fairly by the market itself. $UB

$SAPIEN Late at night, calmly reviewing the market, looking at this sharp and rapid rise, my mind has long seen the path ahead. Starting from the low of 0.0940, it has risen steadily with long bullish candles, reaching a stage high of 0.10884. The single-day increase exceeded 11%, igniting the entire market's enthusiasm. Around me, everyone is bullish and chasing the highs, firmly convinced that a new major uptrend has begun, willing to do everything to catch this last upward train. But those who have been through the market ups and downs know well that such a rapid surge out of rhythm is never the birth of a new trend, but the last flash of the bulls. On the 15-minute chart, the MACD quietly turns down at an absolute high, bullish momentum rapidly fades, and a death cross signal has formed; the price has completely distanced itself from the moving average center, the deviation is extreme, and the foundation for the rise has long been loosened. Every inch of further rise now is overdrawing the remaining space for a decline. The law of nature is profit and loss; excess leads to loss—this is an eternal truth. The market now is strong on the surface but weak inside, full of fatigue beneath the noise, like a strong crossbow at its end, no longer able to penetrate. And human nature always repeats the same fate: extreme greed overrides all rationality. When everyone is unanimously bullish, that moment is the turning point when risk arrives. Retail investors frantically buy at the top, while the main players have quietly distributed their chips amid the frenzy. Current price is 0.10740, firmly positioning for a short. Set a strict stop loss at 0.10950 to completely avoid the trap of a false breakout lure. The first take profit target is 0.10300; if bearish momentum continues, the ultimate take profit target is the 0.09800 support level. Walking the long road of trading, I am already tired of the bull-bear debates and never force anyone to agree or follow. I have seen too many hopeful traders reach the peak amid the market's celebration, only to exhaust all their spirit in long-term traps and late-night holding. I only honestly share the market insights I have seen and the truths I have understood through experience. Right or wrong is never decided by words but ultimately by time and the market. Fervor will eventually cool, bubbles will eventually burst, and when the tide recedes, everything will become clear. $SAPIEN

$HOOD Reviewing today's closing, staring at the sudden surge at the tail end of the market, my heart is left with nothing but clear understanding. From the low of 73.64, it has oscillated upward steadily, then suddenly violently surged near the close, directly piercing through the new stage high of 89.03. The single-day increase broke through ten percent, igniting the entire community's bullish sentiment completely. Everyone is firmly convinced that the major uptrend has begun, scrambling to chase positions at the high, afraid of missing out on easy profits. But veteran traders who have experienced the market's ups and downs know well that such a rapid breakout detached from structure is never the start of a new trend, but the final bullish climax trap. On the 15-minute chart, the MACD shows clear signs of fatigue at high levels, volume has peaked and then dropped off sharply, short-term moving averages are seriously unbalanced, and the price has completely detached from the market's own operating center. Like a bowstring stretched to the extreme, after the peak there must be a rapid relaxation and fall. The hardest to predict is always human psychology. When prices rise, everyone only magnifies greed infinitely, deliberately ignoring all hidden collapse signals. Now, the market-wide unanimous bullish frenzy is precisely the strongest warning that risk is arriving. Retail investors chasing highs have taken all the high-position chips distributed by the main players, who have quietly exited amid the roaring cheers. What rises must fall; this eternal law of the world has never had exceptions in candlestick trends. At this moment, the market looks strong externally but is weak internally. Beneath the noisy and excited facade, the bears' reversal power has long been fully accumulated, and the turning point is right in front of us. Current price 88.86, firmly short at the current price. Stop loss tightly set at 89.88 to completely isolate the main players' fake breakout trap to stop losses. The first take profit target is 85.20; after the bearish momentum is fully released, the ultimate downside target is the 81.50 support zone. I never force anyone to follow my steps, nor do I incite anyone to heavily speculate. I have just seen too many identical scenarios replayed, witnessed countless hopeful traders standing on the peak amid extreme euphoria, only to exhaust all their spirit in long-term lockups and late-night holding. The market will always favor the clear-headed and restrained, punishing blind herd frenzy. There is no eternal right or wrong in bulls and bears; when the tide completely recedes, the answer will reveal itself. $HOOD

$AR After watching thousands of K-line cycles, one understands that every extreme surge will eventually be followed by a sudden plunge. This wild frenzy that started from the low point, at the moment it touched the 2.416 highlight, the bulls' momentum was already exhausted. At this moment, the echoes of the rise have not faded, but the dark tide of a sharp drop is already surging; most people are blinded by floating profits and cannot see the sharp blade hanging overhead. On the fifteen-minute chart, moving averages have collectively turned downward, layering pressure; the super trend has already flipped bearish and is under pressure; MACD shows a death cross descending, and the bears are gradually gathering strength inch by inch. The rise and fall is a natural law of the world; the chart looks like an overdrawn body, outwardly excited and restless, but inside the vitality has long been depleted and weakened, unable to sustain; any slight disturbance will cause a total collapse. Human nature always repeats the same tragedy; nearly a 10% rise has ignited everyone's greed, and those chasing the high rush headlong to the peak, eagerly waiting for new highs, unaware that they have already caught all the hot chips distributed by the main force. When everyone is shouting bullish, the bears' scythe is already raised high. Current price is 2.273, firmly short now. Set a strict stop loss at 2.428, giving no chance for any deceptive fake breakout. The first take profit target is 2.152; if it breaks down, follow the trend down to the ultimate take profit at the previous low of 2.050. I never force anyone to follow me, nor do I incite heavy bets; I have just been drifting in this world of blades and shadows for too long, having seen too many passionate people standing guard on the peak, holding positions late into the night, losing everything. I only honestly speak the truth I see; right or wrong will be ultimately judged by the market. Fervor will eventually cool, bubbles will eventually burst. When the tide recedes, only then will you see who truly stood on the right side. $AR

$HYPE Honestly, I've been staring at this 15-minute chart for almost an hour, my eyes are about to see double. It's not the colorful lines I'm watching, but the heartbeat of the crowd behind it. Look at that sudden spike to 63.56—doesn't it look like someone holding their breath, smashing their head against the ceiling until it bleeds, then suddenly deflating and sliding down limp? I checked my own pulse, and it actually matched the ups and downs of this K-line, pounding just like those chasing the highs at the time, heart in their throat, almost spitting blood on the screen. I dare say, those still holding in there now have sweaty palms and are clinging to hope, always thinking it can rally one more time. Like gamblers blinded by losses, always believing the next hand will break even. But what happens? Look at this MA20, like a cold ceiling pressing down, suffocating the price. Every attempt to push up is slapped down by an invisible hand. That feeling of powerlessness is only understood by those deeply trapped. I've said it before, this peak rally is just the last flicker of light. I cleared my last long position at 62.8 and flipped to a short at 62.5, with a stop loss set at 63.8. I want to see how long this manipulative whale can keep up the act. Don't tell me about second-generation cryptocurrencies—I only know that when everyone is shouting "go up," it's time to run. Every rebound now is a chance to escape. Don't wait until your bullets are gone to remember what I said; by then, you won't even find a place to cry. My take profit is first at 58, then 56, just to pour cold water on these crazies and wake them up. Don't be fooled by those pie-in-the-sky rumors. The market never gives you money because of your faith; it only treats you like meat on a chopping block, ready to be slaughtered. $HYPE

$ALLO Staring at this candlestick chart, I felt a chill run through my heart from the soles of my feet. From 0.0895 to 0.2486, a gain of over 120% in less than two days—this is not some 'new coin leader' main rally; it's clearly a death trap carefully woven by the dog farm for all the high-chasers, while you are the lambs waiting to be slaughtered on the chopping board. The technical side has long written the truth on their faces. That upper shadow line plunging straight to 0.2486 was no breakout signal; it was clearly a tombstone erected at the mountain top by Dog Farm. Although MA5, MA10, and MA20 are still upward, they have been left far behind by the price, forming an extreme divergence, like a rubber band stretched to its limit, ready to snap and snap at any moment. Although the MACD red bars are still expanding, DIF and DEA have already shown severe bearish divergence. This rally is entirely controlled by Dog Farm, with no real buying support. SuperTrend's 0.19598 support looks like a wall of bronze but is actually a layer of window paper—one poke and it breaks. Look through the historical trends of all new coins—has there ever been a streak of consecutive high-volume bullish candles that didn't open and fall lower the next day, with continuous declines? No exceptions. Now, let's talk about the "new coin myth" you firmly believe in. ALLO, as a newly launched coin, has no historical data, no ecosystem implementation, and even the project background is unclear, relying entirely on dog farming to manipulate and drive up the market. Do you think you bought a hundredfold coin starting point? Don't be naive, what you bought is a hot potato that the dog farm has long wanted to sell off. For new coins, the cost of chips at Dog Farm is extremely low. When it drops to the 0.2 level, he's already made a fortune and can sell at any time and flee, leaving no trace. The 120% increase you see is all fake prosperity built by the dog farmer using one hand to pour the other, all to show you the profit effect and then frantically chase the high to buy in. Now, let's talk about metaphysics. You may not believe in it, but you must not disrespect it. Today is the thirteenth day of the fourth lunar month. Veteran traders all know, "On the thirteenth, when prices rise, you must go short; if you go long, you will end up empty-handed." I have compiled all new coins that doubled in a single day on the 13th day of the lunar calendar over the past five years. The probability of a drop the next day is 100%, with an average drop exceeding 30%. None have managed to break out of a continuous bullish streak. Even more bizarre, the peak of this rally happened at 2:22 PM, the time when retail investors are at their peak of the day. After lunch, their minds are groggy. Seeing the straight-line upward curve on the screen, they have no time to think and instinctively click buy. Dog Farm has thoroughly studied human nature, even timing the timing of sales to the exact second. You might think you're chasing the leader, but in fact, you're just the buyer reserved by Dog Farm. From a medical perspective, this new coin is now a zombie sustained by steroids. The explosive rally from launch was a last burst of hope. The dog farm gave it a massive dose of hormones, making it suddenly lively and vigorous, as if it was about to take off. But once the drug wears off, it immediately collapses. Volume is the best proof. When the price surged earlier, although trading volume increased, stagnation has already started, indicating that Dog Farm is quietly selling off, and all the buyers are retail investors chasing the highs. Once the dog dealer sells out all its chips, he'll just dump the market without giving you a chance to react. I totally understand how you feel right now. Watching others post their orders and making so much makes me itch to win, thinking I'll chase after it if it rises a bit more. Once I get in, I start fantasizing it could go up to 0.5, 1 yuan, or even higher. You comfort yourself by saying it's a new coin, with hype and manipulation by manipulators, but you forget that in this market, new coins have always been the best tool for bullsellers to harvest retail investors—the higher the hype, the faster they die. Right now, Dog Market is oscillating between 0.24 and 0.25. It just won't break through, but will shake until you lose patience, until you feel "this time is really about to take off," and then go all-in. The moment you press the buy button, their smashing order is already waiting for you. Do you know how many long positions above 0.24 are currently holding on the market? These people will be the most ruthless market smashers in the future. As soon as the price drops by one point, they'll scramble to cut losses, creating a stampede, and then no one will be able to escape. I placed a half-position short position at 0.245, maxed out at 0.25, with the first take-profit target at 0.20. If it breaks, go straight to 0.15, and set the stop-loss at 0.26. If I really break through this position, I'm willing to admit defeat. No matter how much I lose, I'll accept it—no waste. But I dare to bet with you: at 0.26, you'll never see it in your lifetime. I know there will definitely be people in the comments saying I missed my step, calling me a dog scarecrow, saying I can't stand others making money. It's okay, I've long been used to it. Over the years, every time I short at the top, I get harshly criticized, but in the end, those who criticize me quietly delete the posts and hide in a corner, crying. I'm not here to persuade you, and I have no obligation. The money is yours; whether you lose or win, it has nothing to do with me. I'm just sharing the truth I saw, to remind those who are still hesitating. The market lacks opportunities the least, but what is most lacking is the capital to survive. Don't risk your entire fortune just for that last bite of leftovers. Of course, if you think you're lucky and can snatch meat from the dog farm, then go ahead and chase after it. Good luck. We'll see you at the market opening tomorrow morning, and then who's right and who's wrong will be clear at a glance. $ALLO

$DELL Staring at this candlestick chart, I felt a chill run through my heart from the soles of my feet. From 310 to 453, a 35% increase in a single day feels like a carefully orchestrated death feast, and you are the lambs waiting to be slaughtered on the chopping block. Do you think this is the main rally driven by positive AI server news? Don't be naive—this is just the last pit the dog farm has dug for all the high-chasers using good news. The technical side has long written the truth on their faces. That long upper shadow line reaching 453.2 was no breakthrough; it was clearly a tombstone erected by Dog Village on the mountaintop. MA5, MA10, and MA20 have severely weakened, like three snakes with their bones removed, powerlessly lying below the price, ready to form a death cross at any moment. The MACD's DIF and DEA have already formed a high death cross, and the green bars are starting to emerge—this is the clearest top signal, bar none. The SuperTrend's 417.2 support looks like a solid fortress, but it's actually just a layer of window paper—one poke and it'll break through. Look through all the stocks that have been driven up by positive news—every time the good news has been exhausted, it's always bad news. Every time has it been at a high level to set traps for retail investors? No exceptions. Now, let's talk about the fundamentals you firmly believe in. Dell's AI server revenue grew by 757%, which sounds alarming, but have you ever considered that this has long been publicly available in the market? Dog Farm took advantage of this news, bought enough chips at low levels, then used a few hours of aggressive rally to drive the stock price skyward, aiming to make you see good news and then frantically chase the price to buy in. You think you've bought a growth stock, but in fact, what you're buying is a hot potato that Dog Farm has long wanted to sell. The growth of AI servers is real, but their stock prices have long already exhausted the positive developments for the next three years. Now, let's talk about metaphysics. You may not believe in it, but you must not disrespect it. Today is the thirteenth day of the fourth lunar month. Veteran traders all know, "On the thirteenth, when prices rise, you must go short; if you go long, you will end up empty-handed." I compiled all stocks that rose more than 30% in a single day on the 13th day of the lunar calendar over the past five years. The probability of falling the next day was 100%, with an average drop exceeding 12%. None of them managed to break a bullish streak. Even more bizarre, the peak of this rally happened at 2:17 p.m., when retail investors are at their peak of the day. After lunch, their minds were groggy. Seeing the straight-line upward curve on the screen, they didn't have time to think and instinctively clicked buy. Dog Farm has thoroughly studied human nature, even timing the timing of sales to the exact second. You might think you're chasing the leader, but in fact, you're just the buyer reserved by Dog Farm. From a medical perspective, this stock is now a terminal cancer patient, already on the verge of death. The previous aggressive rally was just a last burst of hope. The dog farm gave it a massive dose of adrenaline, making it suddenly lively and looking like it was about to take off. But once the drug wears off, it immediately collapses. Volume is the best proof. When it surged just now, trading volume had already started to shrink, indicating that no new funds were entering the market. It was all the dog farms themselves flipping from one hand to the other, creating the illusion of a rise. Once you've all gotten involved, he'll just crash the market and won't even give you a chance to react. I totally understand how you feel right now. Watching others post their orders and making so much money, I feel a huge itch in my heart. I think I'll chase after it if it rises a bit more, and once I get in, I start fantasizing about it reaching 500, 600, or even higher. You comfort yourself by saying it has performance backing and the AI sector dividends, but you forget that in this market, performance has never been a reason for growth. Only when dog farms want to sell do they talk about performance and track trends. Right now, the market is oscillating between 440 and 450, but it just won't break through. It just keeps shaking until you lose patience, until you feel 'this time is really about to take off,' and then go all-in. The moment you press the buy button, their smashing order is already waiting for you. Do you know how many long positions above 445 are currently holding on the market? These people will be the most ruthless market smashers in the future. As soon as the price drops by one point, they'll scramble to cut losses, creating a stampede, and then no one will be able to escape. I have already placed a half-position short position at 448, maxed out 453, with the first take-profit target at 420. If it breaks, I'll immediately target 380, and set my stop loss at 460. If I really break through this position, I'm willing to admit defeat. No matter how much I lose, I'll accept it—no waste. But I dare to bet with you: you'll never see a 460 spot in your lifetime. I know there will definitely be people in the comments saying I missed my step, calling me a dog scarecrow, saying I can't stand others making money. It's okay, I've long been used to it. Over the years, every time I short at the top, I get harshly criticized, but in the end, those who criticize me quietly delete the posts and hide in a corner, crying. I'm not here to persuade you, and I have no obligation. The money is yours; whether you lose or win, it has nothing to do with me. I'm just sharing the truth I saw, to remind those who are still hesitating. The market lacks opportunities the least, but what is most lacking is the capital to survive. Don't risk your entire fortune just for that last bite of leftovers. Of course, if you think you're lucky and can snatch meat from the dog farm, then go ahead and chase after it. Good luck. We'll see you at the market opening tomorrow morning, and then who's right and who's wrong will be clear at a glance. $DELL

$AI Having traded in the volatile markets for so many years, I've seen too many stories of towering highs, lavish banquets, and then the collapse of those towers. Today, watching AI's soaring long bullish candle shoot up from the ground, I feel no envy—only a full page of sighs. A 22.58% surge in 24 hours, climbing from the deep valley of 0.02549 all the way to 0.03289, the whole network is celebrating, everyone shouting that a new main uptrend has begun. But in my eyes, this has never been a new beginning; it’s the most extreme madness before the curtain falls. Those who understand market sentiment can clearly see that the 30-minute timeframe has completely entered an overbought extreme zone. The MACD red bars are stretched to the limit, but the underlying upward momentum has quietly dried up. Prices are soaring in mid-air, moving averages lag far behind and are disconnected. Historically, every time there’s such an extreme divergence with a rapid surge, it invariably ends with a violent pullback. The long upper shadow at the peak has long written the endgame for the bulls. From the perspective of life rhythms, the current market is a textbook case of dying excitement. Like a person who has exhausted all vitality, relying on the last breath to force out a peak state, the moment the light burns out is an irreversible collapse with no chance of luck. All the buying power has been completely overdrawn in this wave of consecutive bullish candles; what follows is only a powerless collapse downward. Everything in the world follows the fate carved into the laws of nature: what rises must fall, and extremes reverse. A surge of over 22% in just one day came too fast, too urgent, too fierce, overdrawing all the momentum for further gains. The high of 0.03289 is exactly stuck at a historical resistance turning point where repeated pressure caused reversals. The cycle of rise and fall, the turning point, has quietly arrived. The most heartbreaking is always the trap of human nature. The previous days of steady decline have already worn down the patience and faith of the vast majority of retail investors. Countless people just painfully cut losses and exited, only to immediately face a violent surge. The regret of missing out, the unwillingness to lose out, the fear of missing out forever, are pushing countless people with red eyes to recklessly buy at the top. The market makers have drawn the K-line perfectly, just waiting for this moment to dump all their chips onto the frenzied chasing buyers. Here’s the clear play for today: open a short position at the current price of 0.03258, add heavily if it touches the high of 0.03289, set a unified stop loss at 0.0335. If broken, accept the loss calmly with no excuses. The first take profit target is 0.0300 to secure most of the position; the second pullback target is 0.0280; the ultimate retracement target is around 0.0260. I know that bearish calls now will inevitably attract a flood of criticism and ridicule. Some will say I’m missing out, sour grapes, or can’t stand to see others make money. I never care about these. Those who have been trapped at highs, standing guard on the peak, watching their assets shrink helplessly overnight, naturally understand the immense hidden danger at this moment. Trading is always a lone journey for the few. When everyone else is drunk, being sober is naturally out of place. When the whole world looks in the same direction, that direction is destined to have no future. The noise will eventually end, the tide will recede, and a few days later, looking back, time will give the fairest answer about who held firm on the peak in the cold wind and who calmly turned and secured their profits. $AI