CryptoPainter

CryptoPainter

An old friend calls me a "painter", technical/data analysis and quantitative trading, providing various tricky angles to see the market, and using time to leverage. The real account is an agent account, a self-evolving strategy system is being tested, please do not copy!

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CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Comparison of BTC's last 3 bear markets over the past 10 years shows consistent time ratios, all starting after a pullback from the ATH and beginning once it fails to reach new highs for a long period. Conclusion: The current bear market is the mildest among all previous ones... But considering the comparison with other markets, the psychological aspect is especially painful...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
BTC spot premium has sharply declined over the past week, with selling pressure mainly coming from USD spot supply, 80% of which is from institutions and ETFs on Coinbase... So it's not that you want to move funds to US stocks, but everyone, including some institutional holders, is getting a bit restless... This feels very much like early 2020, when BTC also had a rebound, but it was nowhere near as strong as the US stocks hitting new highs every day...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Recently, because I had to take care of my child at night, I have been taking high doses of D3, and it seems I got calcium poisoning, with body aches all over. It took 3 days off to recover... It turns out that when supplementing D3, you must also take magnesium. Sigh, it's really complicated...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
#OKX's self-built World Cup prediction market is here! But that's not the key point; it proves the horizontal scalability of Exchange OS. I still think this move is particularly bold—I wonder who came up with it... I have a feeling this hides the seeds of the next wave of asset issuance innovation...
OKX中文
OKX中文
🙌 The OKX self-built 2026 World Cup simulation prediction based on Exchange OS is coming soon! The best way to showcase a set of infrastructure capabilities is to build and validate it yourself first. No need to start from scratch; you can easily launch scalable, high-performance on-chain spot, futures, and prediction markets.
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Acting as both referee and player, and only fined 200 dollars??? You read that right, not 2 million, but 200 bucks…
AB Kuai Dong
AB Kuai Dong
White House stock guru Trump has faced his first market penalty. Because he disclosed his related tens of millions of dollars in stock transactions several months late, he was fined $200 by the regulatory agency.
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
It wasn't until Homelander couldn't fly anymore that I realized his takeoff pose was actually so effeminate...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Hard work pays off, just like water drops wearing down an iron rod into a needle, and stones pierced by a determined person! Friends who have worked with genetic algorithms should be able to see that my system has finally run successfully. Two point arrays represent all surviving strategies in the current market environment converging into two dominant species, and they are still continuously iterating and evolving... And the environment they survive in is the current BTCUSDT - 1min market! This is not backtesting, but real-time trading! In other words, as long as you provide high randomness and a large number of species, even in a market with an extremely low signal-to-noise ratio, strategies adapted to the current market can evolve through long-term survival of the fittest. Of course, this does not mean the strategies have succeeded, but the process has run through. After all, these dominant species have only survived for 3 hours. After a sleep, the dominant species will probably have changed... What I am waiting for is the cockroach among these strategies, that is, a strategy that can survive long-term. Although theoretically it does not exist, it doesn't hurt to try! Because the entire system's evolution is not done through backtesting, theoretically the strategies have minimal overfitting. We don't need to select the optimal strategy through this system; we only need to continuously let the live trading execution refer to the signals given by the current dominant strategies! Once a dominant species declines, decisively abandon it, so the entire system's trading logic becomes completely dynamic. It's really fun!
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
It's really fascinating to watch these randomly generated strategies continuously evolve towards increasing returns and reducing drawdowns… But the problem is, after running for several days, not a single long-term surviving strategy has appeared, which might just prove one fact: That focusing on trading on the 1-minute chart ultimately leads to death, with no exceptions… Once this round of natural evolution ends today, we should be able to move up to higher timeframes and officially prepare for long-term evolution!
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
This video shows that 4.8 indeed has a noticeable improvement, but the question is, why do I feel that if 4.6 were used, it wouldn't actually be much worse? Could it be that 4.7 is really a negative optimization?
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
NIO's VIP sales somehow targeted me. They even invited me to the ES9 launch event before, and recently they've been calling me out of the blue to invite me to test drive the ET9 and ES9… But the thing is, I actually just want to buy another ET5t for my wife to use… NIO's profitability really depends on us old owners; basically, it's all about word of mouth slowly planting the seed among people around us… Especially during holidays when you're waiting in line to charge at highway service areas, driving a NIO with battery swapping draws a lot of attention.
大宇
大宇
NIO is actually the only profitable new force in car manufacturing. I always thought battery swapping was a dead end, but unexpectedly, their cars are so popular, selling nearly 100,000 units in one quarter……
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Why do I feel like every weekend, Trump and Iran start performing a double act? Speaking of which, is there really any possibility of peace talks with Iran? Who exactly is stalling for time?
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
If you abandon Bitcoin today, tomorrow you will be abandoned by Bitcoin
投资TALK君
投资TALK君
If you abandon Bitcoin today, tomorrow you will be abandoned by Bitcoin