
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
An old friend calls me a "painter", technical/data analysis and quantitative trading, providing various tricky angles to see the market, and using time to leverage. The real account is an agent account, a self-evolving strategy system is being tested, please do not copy!
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Comparison of BTC's last 3 bear markets over the past 10 years shows consistent time ratios, all starting after a pullback from the ATH and beginning once it fails to reach new highs for a long period.
Conclusion: The current bear market is the mildest among all previous ones...
But considering the comparison with other markets, the psychological aspect is especially painful...

CryptoPainter
BTC spot premium has sharply declined over the past week, with selling pressure mainly coming from USD spot supply, 80% of which is from institutions and ETFs on Coinbase...
So it's not that you want to move funds to US stocks, but everyone, including some institutional holders, is getting a bit restless...
This feels very much like early 2020, when BTC also had a rebound, but it was nowhere near as strong as the US stocks hitting new highs every day...

#OKX's self-built World Cup prediction market is here!
But that's not the key point; it proves the horizontal scalability of Exchange OS. I still think this move is particularly bold—I wonder who came up with it...
I have a feeling this hides the seeds of the next wave of asset issuance innovation...
OKX中文
🙌 The OKX self-built 2026 World Cup simulation prediction based on Exchange OS is coming soon!
The best way to showcase a set of infrastructure capabilities is to build and validate it yourself first.
No need to start from scratch; you can easily launch scalable, high-performance on-chain spot, futures, and prediction markets.

Hard work pays off, just like water drops wearing down an iron rod into a needle, and stones pierced by a determined person!
Friends who have worked with genetic algorithms should be able to see that my system has finally run successfully. Two point arrays represent all surviving strategies in the current market environment converging into two dominant species, and they are still continuously iterating and evolving...
And the environment they survive in is the current BTCUSDT - 1min market!
This is not backtesting, but real-time trading!
In other words, as long as you provide high randomness and a large number of species, even in a market with an extremely low signal-to-noise ratio, strategies adapted to the current market can evolve through long-term survival of the fittest.
Of course, this does not mean the strategies have succeeded, but the process has run through. After all, these dominant species have only survived for 3 hours. After a sleep, the dominant species will probably have changed...
What I am waiting for is the cockroach among these strategies, that is, a strategy that can survive long-term. Although theoretically it does not exist, it doesn't hurt to try!
Because the entire system's evolution is not done through backtesting, theoretically the strategies have minimal overfitting. We don't need to select the optimal strategy through this system; we only need to continuously let the live trading execution refer to the signals given by the current dominant strategies!
Once a dominant species declines, decisively abandon it, so the entire system's trading logic becomes completely dynamic.
It's really fun!

CryptoPainter
It's really fascinating to watch these randomly generated strategies continuously evolve towards increasing returns and reducing drawdowns…
But the problem is, after running for several days, not a single long-term surviving strategy has appeared, which might just prove one fact:
That focusing on trading on the 1-minute chart ultimately leads to death, with no exceptions…
Once this round of natural evolution ends today, we should be able to move up to higher timeframes and officially prepare for long-term evolution!
NIO's VIP sales somehow targeted me. They even invited me to the ES9 launch event before, and recently they've been calling me out of the blue to invite me to test drive the ET9 and ES9…
But the thing is, I actually just want to buy another ET5t for my wife to use…
NIO's profitability really depends on us old owners; basically, it's all about word of mouth slowly planting the seed among people around us…
Especially during holidays when you're waiting in line to charge at highway service areas, driving a NIO with battery swapping draws a lot of attention.




