交易员刺客

Assassin Community Chief Trader @飞哥定投策略 @交易员飞哥

The current interpretation of hype is complete 👍🏻 $HYPE On-chain data is also very clear 🔥 The Assassin community has already gathered Ready to open positions $BTC $ETH #HYPE回调：空头退场与机构接力同步

Discovered a critical opportunity!!! $ETH is still expected to drop 350 points ⚠️ V God responds to the foundation's transformation, reducing sales, but reducing does not mean stopping sales; huge sell orders are still ongoing Dell beats expectations by 26%, bearish for ETH, indirectly reducing ETH liquidity Follow the trend! Then keep looking for short positions Short ETH at 2096-2111 Take profit at 1888 (stop loss breakeven below 2046) Stop loss at 2160 #USStockInsights: Dell beats expectations by 26%, Costco consumption weak #VGodRespondsToSellingControversy: Foundation transformation, reducing sales $BTC $ALLO

It's my shift now～ 刺哥 is on duty The Assassin community is trading $BTC $ETH $ALLO

HYPE Long-Short Game Strategy: The Collision of Short-Term Selling Pressure and Long-Term Narrative 1. Core Contradiction Between Long and Short: Short-term Selling Pressure vs. Long-Term Premium Bullish logic (higher long-term win rate) · ETF funds continue to see net inflows: two spot ETFs have cumulative inflows exceeding $100 million. Bitwise allocated 10% of the management fee to purchase HYPE and publicly hold positions, while Grayscale continued to increase its holdings and pledges. · The protocol's self-sustaining capability: annualized revenue of about $650 million, 99% of fees spent on buybacks and burns, TVL about $5.5 billion, daily trading volume exceeding $1 billion. Bearish logic (short-term physical constraints) · Loracle unlocks selling pressure: Short whales hold $104 million in short positions, costing $45.37. On May 29, 893,000 HYPE tokens (about $50.8 million) were unlocked. If spot goods are sold off, it will directly suppress prices; If you don't sell, short positions will be in a bare short state, making it easy to be squeezed short. · Galaxy Digital profit-taking: 1 million coins have been unstaked, 500,000 transferred to the exchange, and the remaining 500,000 may still be sold at an appropriate time. · Technical resistance: The historic high of $64.44 is under significant selling pressure, and market analysts believe a pullback is most likely to occur in the $50-57 range. In short: The long-term narrative is complete, but the short-term support level at $56-57 faces a test of quantifiable sell-offs. II. Strategy Framework (by Risk Preference) Strategy 1: Long-term allocation – Buy on dips in batches, betting on the ICE narrative · Core: Every pullback triggered by an unlock sell-off is an opportunity to reduce long-term costs. Once the ICE cooperation is implemented, the valuation logic shift will open up 30%-50% or even higher potential. · Reference Execution: · Funds are divided into 3-4 tranches. · The first position was in the $56-57 range (supported by technical and fundamental convergence). · If it falls below $56, increase your position in the $50-$54 range. · Target holding until ICE cooperation becomes clear or valuation shifts are realized, ignoring short-term 10-15% volatility. · Observation: If Loracle is not sold off on a large scale after unlocking (price ranges between $59-62), it indicates that the supply exceeds expectations, and you can increase your position. Strategy 2: Short-term swing – Buy low high within the $58-64 range · Core: In the short term, both bulls and bears have physical boundaries. Historical resistance at $64.44 above, short-term support at $56-57 below. The box width is about $7-8. · Reference Execution: · Price near $58 with reduced volume stabilizing→ short-term long position, targeting $62-64. · Prices are close to $63-64, with no new ICE news → take profit. · Don't go naked: Sudden positive news on ICE can cause short sellers to blow up instantly. · Biggest risk: ICE partnership suddenly announced, breaking out of the box and rising upward. Strategy 3: Aggressive/Professional Traders – Gamble Loracle Clearing Line · Core: Loracle short position clearance price is at $90 (about 57% from the current level). Market funds may jointly short squeeze, triggering forced liquidations and forming a positive spiral. · Reference Execution: · Set a long bottom position between $56 and $58, setting stop-losses. · If on-chain monitoring shows Loracle being forced to reduce short positions or spot selling falling short or short-of-expected → increasing positions, · Major warning: This strategy is highly volatile, with single-day drawdowns of over 20%, and is only suitable for experienced traders. Ordinary retail investors are strictly prohibited from imitating. Strategy 4: Derivatives Hedging – Focus on funding rates · Core: Sharp changes in funding rates preceded price breakouts. After the rate turned negative on May 18-19, short squeezes occurred, with short positions liquidated by over $30.6 million. · Reference Execution: · Rates have turned significantly negative→ Short crowding is focused on short-term short squeeze opportunities. · Rates remain sharply positive and open interest has shrunk→ Bulls are crowded, warning of a pullback. · Usually used with spot long positions; when doing alone, strict stop-loss is required. 3. Three Possible Scenarios and Countermeasures Scenario 1: Breakout (Catalyst Needed) · Trigger conditions: (1) Substantive progress in ICE cooperation; (2) ETF single-day net inflow exceeded $25.5 million; (3) Loracle actively closes short positions. · Response: Hold positions for the long term; increase positions for the short term. If multiple signals resonate, the rise may accelerate. Scenario 2: Pullback (focus on selling strength) · Trigger conditions: Loracle sell-off unlocks all spot assets ($50.8 million) + remaining 500,000 Galaxy tokens transferred out + net ETF inflows slow. · Response: · Holding at $56-57 → is seen as short-term noise, with no long-term movement. · Fell below $56 but quickly recovered $50-54 → long-term buying window. · Closed below $56 for three consecutive days with increased volume→ reassessing its capacity to take charge. Scenario 3: Range-bound Fluctuations ($56-64) · Response: Hold silent positions in the long term; buy low in the short term. Avoid high leverage (accumulation of long position costs when funding rates are positive during volatility). 4. Summary HYPE is currently in a collision period of "short-term visible selling pressure vs. long-term grand narrative." The $56-64 range reflects a temporary balance between bulls and bears. · Short-term: Watch closely for whether Loracle unlock funds are effectively sold off and the strength of the $56 support. If the sell-off is effectively absorbed by net ETF inflows, it indicates that institutional turnover is stronger than expected. · Long-term: The compliance premium brought by ICE cooperation is the largest option. Once this narrative shift materializes, the valuation coordinate system will completely shift, with much more room than any short-term sell-off causing declines. All trades must match your own risk tolerance; avoid chasing highs and selling lows or fully leveraged. Before placing a trade, make sure to figure out where to cut your losses. #HYPE回调: Short exit synchronizes with institutional relay #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

ICE putting crude oil on-chain makes Bitcoin the biggest winner behind the scenes Brothers, when seeing this news, many people's first reaction is: it's over, crude oil is coming to snatch BTC's liquidity, and Bitcoin is going to drop. But after years in the crypto world, I've long realized one truth — real positive news often comes disguised as negative. What kind of scale is ICE? The parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, the actual controller of global crude oil pricing power. Such a giant player doesn't come to play a quick game and leave. By placing crude oil perpetual contracts on OKX, on the surface it looks like just another trading product, but essentially it’s issuing a "license" to the entire crypto market. Bitcoin, as the underlying asset, pricing anchor, and liquidity gateway of the crypto world, will be the largest and irreplaceable beneficiary of this macro integration. Now, I’ll break down this grand chess game for you brothers from four positive perspectives. 1. Compliance "Breaking the Ice": Bitcoin now has Wall Street’s "official seal" In the past decade, Bitcoin’s biggest pain point was traditional capital’s reluctance to enter — unclear regulation, uncertain compliance, fear of being outright banned. Now ICE personally steps in, bringing the NYSE’s compliance system and global regulatory credibility, putting the most sensitive asset, crude oil, on a crypto platform. What does this mean? It means the phrase "crypto trading" is officially accepted by Wall Street’s mainstream system. The chain reaction is: pension funds, hedge funds, family offices will confidently enter through licensed channels like OKX. And what do they buy first? Always Bitcoin. BTC is the "blue chip" of the crypto world, with the best liquidity, highest safety, and easiest acceptance under compliance frameworks. In the short term, crude oil contracts will absorb some speculative hot money; in the long term, the entire liquidity pool will grow from a river to an ocean, completely unlocking Bitcoin’s scale and valuation ceiling. 2. Bitcoin no longer a "roller coaster": Macro hedging tools make the market more rational Many brothers complain about crypto’s huge volatility, sometimes 20% moves in a day. The root cause? Lack of sufficient macro hedging tools. Funds have nowhere to hide, jumping back and forth between BTC and altcoins, causing collective panic selling at the slightest disturbance. Now ICE bringing crude oil perpetual contracts is like installing a pressure relief valve for the market. · When geopolitical conflicts erupt and oil prices surge, big players can hedge macro risks directly with crude oil contracts instead of frantically selling BTC for USDT. · When inflation expectations rise, traders can simultaneously position in crude oil and Bitcoin at the same table, forming more stable strategy portfolios. The result: Bitcoin’s volatility will gradually decrease, and long-term holders’ experience will improve. A smoother Bitcoin is what mainstream institutions can truly allocate as "digital gold," rather than a speculative chip for short-term trading. 3. "Hidden dividend" in geopolitical conflicts: Bitcoin’s alternative safe-haven logic activated With US-Iran tensions escalating and oil prices fluctuating wildly, many say "Bitcoin falls when oil rises, what kind of safe haven is that?" But I remind brothers: hedging isn’t just about 24-hour price reactions, but about irreplaceability in extreme situations. Suppose the situation escalates further, and traditional financial markets face: · Crude oil futures exchanges restrict new positions or raise margin requirements · Banks or brokers in some countries freeze trading · Cross-border capital flows are blocked At this time, Bitcoin’s 24/7 global trading, borderless, censorship-resistant, and self-custody features become true "hard currency." ICE putting crude oil on-chain essentially acknowledges this fact: in extreme macro environments, crypto networks’ value transfer capability is irreplaceable by traditional finance. Every geopolitical crisis makes more people realize: holding some Bitcoin is not speculation, but a "macro insurance" hedge against the entire traditional system’s uncertainty. This is BTC’s long-term narrative dividend. 4. Stock competition turns into incremental market: Bitcoin’s "liquidity drain anxiety" is a false premise Some worry that Hyperliquid’s crude oil contract with 1.6 billion daily volume will siphon BTC liquidity after OKX launches. I tell you: this worry is typical "stock thinking." ICE entering the crypto market is not to divide the existing cake but to make the whole cake bigger. · Previously, crude oil futures traders needed traditional accounts, KYC, and were limited by trading hours. Now they can trade 24/7 on OKX using crypto as margin. · Many of these traders have never touched crypto before. To trade crude oil, they learn to use USDT and hold Bitcoin as margin for the first time. Every new traditional trader is a potential Bitcoin holder. The crude oil contract is just the hook; those caught will ultimately be attracted by Bitcoin’s depth and liquidity. Short-term "liquidity drain" leads to long-term "capital infusion," and I have this calculation very clear. My summary: The bigger the waves, the pricier the fish; the bigger the board, the steadier the king. Brothers, don’t be blinded by a day or two of Bitcoin price swings. ICE’s move is the dawn of crypto’s "macro assetization." Bitcoin, as the ecosystem’s cornerstone, won’t be forgotten because of one more trading product; instead, it will be the biggest winner as the stage expands. In the short term, crude oil contracts will cause some capital diversion, but smart money will gradually increase BTC positions amid panic. My advice is clear: 1. Don’t chase crude oil contract’s wild swings — it’s even more volatile than crypto and not for ordinary people. 2. Hold your Bitcoin position firmly — the $29,000-$30,000 range (if it reaches) is a golden pit, don’t be scared off. 3. Trade time for space — after this macro sentiment digests, ICE’s compliance dividend will gradually reflect in price. When Wall Street truly starts using Bitcoin for macro hedging, this price will look like the foot of the mountain in hindsight. Like and follow me, brothers, let’s steadily profit together in this grand chess game. #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Important situation discovered! $BTC still has a 3000-point drop 📉⚠️ Must short on the rebound! Go with the trend 🔥 Here is a public trade! NYSE parent company authorizes OKX to launch crude oil contracts—this is a signal of the times, but with US Treasury yields hitting 5.2%, effectively a rate hike, it still can't hold up. Dell exceeded expectations by 26%, which precisely proves that the AI market is squeezing funds from BTC. Short BTC at 74666-74966 Take profit at 70888 (with break-even stop loss below 73666) Stop loss at 76000 #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 #美股洞察：戴尔超预期26%，好市多消费疲软 #PCE数据创近三年新高 $ETH $SOL

The reason behind ALLO's pump has been found!!!! $ALLO Brother Ci is here, guys! Lately, many people have been asking backstage: Brother Ci, Brother Ci, why is Allora (ALLO) pumping so hard? Doubling in nine days! Today it surged another 50%, is the dog whale driving the market again? Don’t rush, Brother Ci will explain it clearly in three seconds. This rally isn’t random hype; there’s solid logic behind it! · First, the product is active: In mid-May, they launched a Cobot—simply put, it’s the AI world’s “trade signal teacher,” aggregating a bunch of smart brains to help you analyze the market. Even ordinary retail investors can use it, which completes the story. Plus, on May 4th, they upgraded the underlying network, making it more stable and faster, no technical issues. · Second, staking is profitable: On May 28th, staking yields 12% annualized! Brothers, once you deposit, you won’t want to sell. More locked tokens mean less selling pressure, naturally pushing the price up. Brother Ci has said, projects that let you “earn passively” can’t be easily dumped by whales. · Third, big investors put money in: Top dogs like Archetype and Delphi Ventures—no, top VCs—just injected $3 million in strategic funding. Their scythes are faster than ours, but their vision is sharper. If they dare to put real money in, isn’t it reasonable for you to take a sip? · Fourth, the hot trend is taking off: The hottest market right now is AI + RWA (Real-World Assets on-chain). Allora is the beloved child of decentralized AI networks, hitting both hot spots. When the wind blows, even pigs can fly—especially when this one already has wings! Brother Ci looks at the funds: This rally isn’t a one-time buy; volume is gradually increasing step by step, and the main players are accumulating with real money. The funding rate on contracts is still negative—what does that mean? The shorts are smashing the market while paying you a “protection fee.” If another pump comes, these shorts will be forced to liquidate and cover, and just thinking about that scene excites Brother Ci! ⚠️ Brother Ci’s warning: Don’t get carried away! The RSI has surged to 94.65, which is seriously overbought, like chugging three bottles of Niuer (a strong liquor) in a row—you’re bound to throw up anytime. If you want to go long, wait for a pullback to enter; if you’re already in, remember to set your take profit and stop loss, don’t blow up from the peak like a kite. Also, on May 7th, they partnered with Brevis, and there’s a big move coming with the mainnet launch. Keep an eye on the news; good news turning into bad news is common. Brother Ci’s summary: At a time when PCE data hits a three-year high, Allora’s fundamentals are solid, the narrative is strong, and the funds are smart. But no matter how good the project is, don’t chase blindly—wait for some volatility before jumping in. Brother Ci is optimistic about its trend. — Brothers, the road in the Jianghu is long, like and get rich, meeting adjourned! #PCE数据创近三年新高 $BTC $ETH

Assassin community 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻 Gathered again today 😏 Have already studied the impact of OKX launching crude oil contracts Ready to start doing the following Will place a mysterious order today Everyone in position Shall we do it together? #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Just opened my eyes and found that I had taken profit

Assassin Community UEX Daily Report｜Original · Hardcore Analysis Date: May 29, 2026 1. Market Essence: Two Forces Clashing, Whoever Withdraws First Dies The current market is not just fluctuating; it is structurally fractured. · On one side: Macro expectations gap — rate cuts are basically off the table, April PCE at 3.8%, Powell verbally insists on “data dependency” but is effectively sidelined. · On the other side: AI hardware performance is outrageously strong — Dell’s AI server revenue surged 757% year-over-year, with an order backlog of $14.4 billion. This is not a story; it’s real cash in hand. Cryptocurrency is stuck right in the middle: it can’t ride the AI main wave, nor can it avoid the drain from high real US dollar interest rates. BTC & ETH’s current movement is being pulled from both ends. 2. BTC｜Assassin Positioning Current price: $73,826 This level is messy. Above is a graveyard of high-leverage shorts; below is a stronghold of longs. First Sniping Zone (Above): $74,100 – $75,000 · Dense accumulation of high-leverage shorts · Once broken through, a short squeeze will erupt as fast as disturbing a hornet’s nest · Community position advice: Shorts should never chase here; longs can place breakout orders Second Retreat Zone (Below): $72,000 – $73,000 · Large concentration of long leverage here · Assassin principle: If price effectively breaks below 72.5k, halve your position first, don’t hold on stubbornly Extreme Scenario Assessment · Community risk model shows: if bearish sentiment continues to ferment, BTC could retest 65k · More extreme short scenario: 44k — but this requires substantial Fed rate hikes or a black swan event. Currently low probability but cannot be ruled out. 3. ETH｜Follows Downtrend, Not Uptrend, Structure Weaker Current price: $2,015 · Essentially still a leveraged token of BTC · On-chain activity shows no significant rebound, gas fees remain low for a long time · Assassin view: ETH is currently only suitable for short-term trades; above 2,050 is a long exhaustion zone, below 1,950 can be bought but stop losses must be quick 4. US Stocks & Macro｜AI Holds Strong, Energy Loosens US stock indices hit new highs again · Dow Jones 50,678 · S&P 7,563 · Nasdaq 26,906 Assassin internal summary: Not all stocks are rising; it’s the AI server supply chain that’s rising. Dell’s after-hours +38% is not sentiment but order verification. Anthropic’s valuation at $965 billion surpasses OpenAI, indicating the market is betting on continued explosive demand for inference-side hardware. Geopolitics · Expectations for US-Iran ceasefire talks are heating up, Strait of Hormuz may reopen · Assassin view: Oil prices will be suppressed; WTI returning below $85 is just a matter of time · Short-term neutral to slightly bearish on crypto (inflation expectations cooling → rate cuts pushed further out) 5. Institutional Views · Assassin Sharp Commentary · Goldman Sachs and other investment banks: Optimistic ceasefire + AI growth = soft landing narrative continues. Assassin sharp comment: They are right, but they won’t tell you to run at $73k BTC. · Dell data breakdown (consensus among multiple investment banks): FY2026 AI server revenue forecast $15–16 billion, backlog $14.4 billion, visibility extremely high. Assassin community conclusion: AI CapEx has moved from “story” to “report verification period,” midstream integrators have the most resilience. But note: The downside of the verification period is — if any quarter misses, the stock price will crash badly. 6. Final Assassin Reminder The current market is neither a bull nor a bear market; it is a structurally torn market. Long positions should focus on the AI hardware chain; short positions should wait for BTC breakdown confirmation. Don’t blindly follow others, don’t stubbornly hold positions, don’t bet on direction at 73k. — Assassin Community UEX, hardcore traders who speak plainly. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美股洞察：戴尔超预期26%，好市多消费疲软 #美光科技市值破万亿：存储超级周期